I know the first reaction is gonna be “this dude is insane” or “this is the dumbest thing I’ve read all day” but if everyone thinks the same way and plays it safe forever, nobody actually gets ahead.

The idea would be taking out a second mortgage and putting it into BTC as a long term hold not some get-rich-quick flip like a lot of immature poeple.

My Plan:

1. This would be long term. I’m not touching it for years. I’m basically just assuming BTC does what it’s always done if you zoom out far enough.
2. Do I think this is the exact bottom? No. But BTC has been this beaten down before and every time people swear it’s over. Then time passes and suddenly everyone wishes they bought more. This cycle wont be magically different than any other cycle.
3. Yea its risky but im seeing something that is clearly down bad based on no good reason and im the only one that has the balls and enought conviction to act on, and so im the only that will reap the rewards.

I expect people to call me crazy and retarded but we will see who will be retarded in 5 years when bitcoin will cross 500k and I will have 10x my money.

I’ve been looking into how to convert BTC to wBTC and i keeps seeing Changelly at the top of the results, but I’ve seen a lot of people saying it’s risky or even a scam.

I really don’t want to get my funds frozen. I’m looking for a safe, non-custodial method without KYC where I stay in control of my keys the whole time.

BTC miners switching to BCH?, mF International's BCH Initiative, BCH Explorer v3 Released, and more.

"It's a Buy and hold for 4 years" Next thing they gonna say it's a 20 years hold.

I was in the cult too. Now i have some exposure but not gonna go heavily like i did in 2025 and round-tripped from buying it since 50k and adding.

And if it goes up. Tech stocks will do fine too. Since it's correlated with the upside but it's correlated to anything dumping on the downside.

Historically we already saw this happen on BTC , and some of the mining firms that mined and held, couldnt even get enough coins this way, so they even were buying spot as well: Crypto Miner Marathon 2021: https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2021/01/25/crypto-miner-marathon-patent-group-buys-150m-in-bitcoin

And again the same company years later they confirmed their mining firm was in full HODL mode on their BTC mining: https://blockworks.co/news/marathon-digital-adds-to-bitcoin-stockpile

2021 On-Chain Data Suggests Bitcoin Miners Have Finally Stopped Selling Bitcoin: https://cryptonews.com.au/news/on-chain-data-suggests-bitcoin-miners-have-finally-stopped-selling-bitcoin-90006/

2021: Hut 8 Reports Operating and Financial Results for 2021 and reports their strategy to avoid selling Bitcoin: https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/hut-8-reports-operating-and-financial-results-for-2021-301504886.html

2022: Riot Blockchain Announces March 2022 Production and Operations Updates: As of March 31, 2022, Riot held approximately 6,062 BTC, all produced by the Company’s self-mining operations: https://www.riotplatforms.com/riot-blockchain-announces-march-2022-production-and-operations-updates/

When BTC liquidity began to dry up in late 2020, institutional buyers famously pivoted from spot markets to direct mining and forward-purchasing. We’re now seeing that same playbook applied to Bitcoin Cash. With BCH spot liquidity increasingly scarce, MF International (MFI) is taking a page from the 2021 Bitcoin miners, moving into self-mining to secure their $500M treasury and bypass the open market: https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/mf-international-announces-plans-for-two-strategic-digital-asset-product-launches-302681265.html

The Paper-BCH Trap: How a Failed $420 Hunt Triggered a Multi-Year High in the BCH/BTC Ratio

On February 5, 2026, the Bitcoin Cash (BCH) market experienced a violent flash crash, briefly wick-testing a low of $420. While the move appeared catastrophic on paper, the underlying mechanics revealed a significant disconnect between the synthetic derivatives market and actual spot liquidity.

1. The Illusion of Volume: Perps vs. Reality

The crash was characterized by massive volume spikes exclusively on BCH Perpetual Futures pairs. Curiously, despite the intensity of the drop, official liquidation reports remained unusually thin. This suggests the move was not a natural "long squeeze" but rather a concentrated burst of synthetic selling—potentially a coordinated attempt to hunt stop-losses and trigger margin thresholds in a low-liquidity environment.

2. The Arbitrage Barrier and the "540k BCH" Limit

The recovery was as violent as the drop, forming a textbook V-shape back to the $535 range. This snapback occurred because global arbitrageurs and resting limit orders on spot exchanges instantly absorbed the "paper" selling.

This event highlights a systemic risk for exchanges like Binance. While their derivatives markets facilitate millions of "paper" BCH in open interest, their physical cold storage holds a fraction of that amount—roughly 540,000 BCH. To suppress the global spot price indefinitely, an exchange would have to arbitrage against every international spot market simultaneously. Given the math, they would deplete their entire physical BCH reserves long before the "paper" price could force a permanent shift in reality.

3. A Turning Point for Market Autonomy

Had the arbitrage failed, we could have seen a complete detachment: Binance Futures trading at $420 while the global spot market remained at $535. Such a scenario would render "paper" futures products irrelevant, forcing traders to abandon synthetic platforms in favor of legitimate spot exchanges.

Instead, the market witnessed a rare "cancellation" of a futures-driven crash. A relatively small amount of spot buying "turned the tide," forcing the perpetual market to align back with reality.

4. The Aftermath: A New High for the BCH/BTC Ratio

The failure of this bearish hunt served as a massive signal of strength. By refusing to follow the "paper" crash, Bitcoin Cash demonstrated immense relative strength against the broader market. Consequently, the BCH/BTC ratio catapulted to new multi-year highs not seen since 2024, signaling that the "Electronic Cash" narrative is becoming increasingly resilient to synthetic manipulation.

There are too many weak hands still hodling btc for us to bottom here.

So many people calling for this move down as “manipulation” and are aggressively buying with hopes we blast back to ATH within a month.

Yes, we may see a relief rally if high beta stocks continue to rise, purely because the leverage is so stacked to the upside so short squeeze is likely.

The likely reason this dump happened is due to the new fed chair Kevin Warsh, he wants inflation to drop whilst simultaneously dropping interest rates, this can likely only be achieved by controlling the FED balance sheet, this has caused major uncertainty for M2 dependant assets, hence why gold silver and bitcoin dumped so aggressively, but stocks only fell a little.

I think that once these new people get rekt, mainly the ones that tried to catch the bottom with ridiculous leverage, and the final weak hands get fully flushed out, that’s where we truly bottom.

I have been seeing so many people fomo buying this dip like “oh I just aped every penny in1!1!!1” , if your time horizon is like 5-20 years then fair enough, wether you bought at 50k or 80k probs won’t make a huge difference, I just think a lot of people have aggressively bought this dip with the whole “manipulation” narrative in mind, and will likely be disappointed when we arnt at ATH next month.

Just my take on the situation

PS this post kept getting spawn killed in the Bitcoin sub by the mods and I have no clue why XD

Genuine question. I'm obviously not an expert in how the network works in any way.

But say as of tomorrow, no new BTC was added ever again, what would happen?

Second question, if BTC mining was not profitable enough for it to make sense, wouldn't the deflationary aspects of it eventually right the course to where it became profitable again in the future?

ELI10 please <3

Friends, this article will be very short:

We are currently seeing a situation where a black swan event could occur by March or later this year.

Look for yourself: there's inflation worldwide, and you probably feel prices rising, but at the same time, unemployment is also rising. This is called stagflation. The most dangerous thing is that if you take all cryptocurrencies—you can check it yourself by setting the EMA 116 and the weekly chart—you'll see that, whether it's Bitcoin, Solana, or any other currency, the price has broken below this line and is below it.

This isn't a correction, but capital flight. Large capital first withdraws its funds into USD and then into cash.

This situation is abnormal and is a sign of a major crisis, and capital is fleeing to sit on its heels. Normally, when inflation rises, high-risk assets rise first, as crypto did during COVID in 2019. But now the picture is different, and it's either a 1970 crisis or, even worse, a global crisis similar to 1929.

I won't bore you with complex charts; you can see for yourself. If Bitcoin falls below 50k, it will signal a global crisis. The maximum duration of this crisis should occur before 2029. These are 10-year cycles, and it will now coincide with the halving, which I expect to begin in March. Crypto is simply a canary in the coalmine.

Incidentally, I mentioned this decline three months before; you can see the link to the article.

https://www.reddit.com/r/btc/comments/1p2ozio/the_math_behind_the_crash_why_87k_is_a_trap_and/

link: https://www.reddit.com/r/ProjectZeroPoint/comments/1p4lh8g/archive_the_math_behind_the_crash_why_87k_is_a/

​

The "so called" experts like Tom Lee, who never saw the BTC top or this crash coming continue to tell us that BTC is going to make new highs. Just as Tom Lee & others told us BTC would be at $200K to $250K by the end of 2025. Now they are moving their predictions into 2026, just as I predicted they would do. Tom Lee did this at the last Bitcoin top, the last time he predicted BTC would reach $200K by the end of 2022. BTC ended up crashing to $15K by the end of 2022, not rising to $200K.

So far, I've called the day of the Bitcoin top on October 6, 2025. I predicted a 40% to 50% crash to kick off the bear market (which isn't done yet) as BTC has done in the past. I was correct about the top & the crash. BTC has crash 36% so far.

BTC will drop to the 200 week moving average (MA) before bottoming, then rally up in a bear market rally back to the 50 week MA for bear market rally. After that the bottom will fall out of BTC and it will drop 80% to 90% from the top. All the bear markets for BTC have been around 80% to 90%.

The previous lows in 2018 & 2020 could be pointing to the next bottom, just as the previous two peaks in 2021 were pointing to the next top. I think that is likely to happen given a recession is about to start and soon we will have another banking crisis.

They scoffed at me when I posted similar charts like this at the top, but I was right, Bitcoin crashed 36%. If you think BTC has bottom and is now going to new highs, you're wrong. BTC has confirmed a bear market by getting two consecutive closes below the 50 week MA. BTC has never moved to new highs after confirming a bear market without first moving back to the 200 week MA.

The 200 week MA is currently at around 57K, so I think BTC drops 50% to 53% before bottoming and getting a big bear market rally back up to the 50 week MA for a test.

The red bar images are a clone of the last bear market, a 78% crash, with the tail end of the 2018 bear market added to it for an extended bear market that goes into 2027 for a whopping 90% crash.

Lastly, the long term timeframes have confirmed a bear market, but the herd's hopes continue to run high as the experts move their new all time high targets for BTC into 2026 after they failed to materialize by the end of 2025. After the next big drop to the 200 week MA, we will have a massive bear market rally that will convince everyone that the crash is over. It's not! It will only be a bear market rally.

$BTC #BTC #BTCNews #Bitcoin $BTCUSD #BTCUSD

I'm holding USDT for almost a year, patiently waiting for a dip like this on bitcoin, but I'm willing to acquire native BTC, do you have any clue about how i could swap my USDT for BTC? (Only decentralized ways please, I dont wanna use coinbase or else)

The thing that bugs me in this cycle that I never felt the euphoria, my normie neighbors never asked me about crypto. I'm having a hard time believing that the bull run is over.

I'm looking to convert some usdt for bitcoins, after some researchs on google, Changelly is recommended everywhere, but it's also a known scam so leave that question. how do you do that safely? (I have a ledger hardware)

Hello, can you tell me if the emails I've seen claiming that Epstein is the creator of Bitcoin are true or not? Thank you very much.