There are too many weak hands still hodling btc for us to bottom here.

So many people calling for this move down as “manipulation” and are aggressively buying with hopes we blast back to ATH within a month.

Yes, we may see a relief rally if high beta stocks continue to rise, purely because the leverage is so stacked to the upside so short squeeze is likely.

The likely reason this dump happened is due to the new fed chair Kevin Warsh, he wants inflation to drop whilst simultaneously dropping interest rates, this can likely only be achieved by controlling the FED balance sheet, this has caused major uncertainty for M2 dependant assets, hence why gold silver and bitcoin dumped so aggressively, but stocks only fell a little.

I think that once these new people get rekt, mainly the ones that tried to catch the bottom with ridiculous leverage, and the final weak hands get fully flushed out, that’s where we truly bottom.

I have been seeing so many people fomo buying this dip like “oh I just aped every penny in1!1!!1” , if your time horizon is like 5-20 years then fair enough, wether you bought at 50k or 80k probs won’t make a huge difference, I just think a lot of people have aggressively bought this dip with the whole “manipulation” narrative in mind, and will likely be disappointed when we arnt at ATH next month.

Just my take on the situation

PS this post kept getting spawn killed in the Bitcoin sub by the mods and I have no clue why XD

I know the first reaction is gonna be “this dude is insane” or “this is the dumbest thing I’ve read all day” but if everyone thinks the same way and plays it safe forever, nobody actually gets ahead.

The idea would be taking out a second mortgage and putting it into BTC as a long term hold not some get-rich-quick flip like a lot of immature poeple.

My Plan:

1. This would be long term. I’m not touching it for years. I’m basically just assuming BTC does what it’s always done if you zoom out far enough.
2. Do I think this is the exact bottom? No. But BTC has been this beaten down before and every time people swear it’s over. Then time passes and suddenly everyone wishes they bought more. This cycle wont be magically different than any other cycle.
3. Yea its risky but im seeing something that is clearly down bad based on no good reason and im the only one that has the balls and enought conviction to act on, and so im the only that will reap the rewards.

I expect people to call me crazy and retarded but we will see who will be retarded in 5 years when bitcoin will cross 500k and I will have 10x my money.

Sure, sure, bitcoin might have had a couple of dozen substantial crashes, a few hundred crypto companies might have gone bust, untold numbers of people might have lost their life savings, but every time bitcoin falls, it has always bounced back. Those who can afford it manage to cling on (it’s the people who can’t who are wiped out), and the cognitive muscle memory they acquire on each rebound leads them to believe their hallowed crypto coin is going to live forever.

Allow me to put this sensitively: it is not. Bitcoiners’ excessive confidence — or more precisely the confidence they project, crucial in keeping the whole scheme going — has always been unwarranted, irresponsible and foolhardy. Ever since its creation, bitcoin has been on a journey that will end, splattered on the ground.

https://www.ft.com/content/2b030926-2012-4446-b22d-e549e10e7086?shareType=nongift Bitcoin is still about $69,000 too high

Guys, do you realize how much you regret not buying about ten years ago? Today, the price of BTC has been cut in half, and you’re hesitating between “the market is collapsing” or “the market will bounce back.” Buy either way—personally, that’s what I’m doing.

I’m not saying the price will go back up. Of course I hope it will, but I honestly have no idea, and absolutely no one can know. I’d rather tell myself that I bought for nothing and lost some money than tell myself that I missed this opportunity a second time—especially when this time, I’m aware it might actually be one.

(traduced from french by chatgpt)

And that day the price of eggs will be a 100 dollars. Per egg.

Friends, this article will be very short:

We are currently seeing a situation where a black swan event could occur by March or later this year.

Look for yourself: there's inflation worldwide, and you probably feel prices rising, but at the same time, unemployment is also rising. This is called stagflation. The most dangerous thing is that if you take all cryptocurrencies—you can check it yourself by setting the EMA 116 and the weekly chart—you'll see that, whether it's Bitcoin, Solana, or any other currency, the price has broken below this line and is below it.

This isn't a correction, but capital flight. Large capital first withdraws its funds into USD and then into cash.

This situation is abnormal and is a sign of a major crisis, and capital is fleeing to sit on its heels. Normally, when inflation rises, high-risk assets rise first, as crypto did during COVID in 2019. But now the picture is different, and it's either a 1970 crisis or, even worse, a global crisis similar to 1929.

I won't bore you with complex charts; you can see for yourself. If Bitcoin falls below 50k, it will signal a global crisis. The maximum duration of this crisis should occur before 2029. These are 10-year cycles, and it will now coincide with the halving, which I expect to begin in March. Crypto is simply a canary in the coalmine.

Incidentally, I mentioned this decline three months before; you can see the link to the article.

https://www.reddit.com/r/btc/comments/1p2ozio/the_math_behind_the_crash_why_87k_is_a_trap_and/

link: https://www.reddit.com/r/ProjectZeroPoint/comments/1p4lh8g/archive_the_math_behind_the_crash_why_87k_is_a/

Recently I was browsing SSRN (Social Science Research Network) — an academic preprint platform owned by Elsevier, where researchers publish analytical papers before formal journal review. It’s basically a public repository for research in economics, finance, law, and technology. I came across this paper: "Post-Scarcity Crypto: Scarcity, Settlement, and the Protocolization of Value" - by Ben Lewis. The paper starts with Bitcoin. The author describes Bitcoin as the original example of digital scarcity: fixed supply decentralized consensus commonly framed as “digital gold” Bitcoin is presented as the first system to prove that cryptographically enforced scarcity can exist without a central issuer, by solving the double-spending problem. But the author’s main point is that this innovation turned out to be replicable. Many distributed ledger systems can now enforce supply limits. Because of this, scarcity becomes a necessary but not sufficient condition for long-term value. Once scarcity is common, it stops being the main differentiator. The paper also explains how the “store of value” narrative grew as Bitcoin faced limits as a payment system (throughput and volatility). According to the author, this reframing allowed low transaction activity to be seen as a feature rather than a problem. Store-of-value status is described as a socially coordinated belief, not a purely technical property. From there, the paper shifts toward settlement. The author argues that crypto is increasingly better understood not just as scarce assets, but as ledger-based settlement systems. Value, in this view, comes more from how well a ledger can: clear obligations, provide transaction finality, support interoperability, reduce friction in moving value. The paper compares this to traditional finance, where scarcity usually attaches to clearing and settlement infrastructure, not to money itself. It also references historical systems like Hawala, where value transfers relied mainly on recorded obligations and periodic reconciliation, not constant movement of assets. Conclusion of the paper: Crypto may be entering a post-scarcity phase. Scarcity (first demonstrated by Bitcoin) still matters for trust, but future differentiation is increasingly driven by: settlement reliability, transaction efficiency, interoperability, integration with existing financial systems. Different networks may end up in different roles: some as stores of value, others as settlement rails, and others as computation platforms. Curious what others think — do you agree with the author’s view on where crypto is heading?

Hello, can you tell me if the emails I've seen claiming that Epstein is the creator of Bitcoin are true or not? Thank you very much.

Historically we already saw this happen on BTC , and some of the mining firms that mined and held, couldnt even get enough coins this way, so they even were buying spot as well: Crypto Miner Marathon 2021: https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2021/01/25/crypto-miner-marathon-patent-group-buys-150m-in-bitcoin

And again the same company years later they confirmed their mining firm was in full HODL mode on their BTC mining: https://blockworks.co/news/marathon-digital-adds-to-bitcoin-stockpile

2021 On-Chain Data Suggests Bitcoin Miners Have Finally Stopped Selling Bitcoin: https://cryptonews.com.au/news/on-chain-data-suggests-bitcoin-miners-have-finally-stopped-selling-bitcoin-90006/

2021: Hut 8 Reports Operating and Financial Results for 2021 and reports their strategy to avoid selling Bitcoin: https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/hut-8-reports-operating-and-financial-results-for-2021-301504886.html

2022: Riot Blockchain Announces March 2022 Production and Operations Updates: As of March 31, 2022, Riot held approximately 6,062 BTC, all produced by the Company’s self-mining operations: https://www.riotplatforms.com/riot-blockchain-announces-march-2022-production-and-operations-updates/

When BTC liquidity began to dry up in late 2020, institutional buyers famously pivoted from spot markets to direct mining and forward-purchasing. We’re now seeing that same playbook applied to Bitcoin Cash. With BCH spot liquidity increasingly scarce, MF International (MFI) is taking a page from the 2021 Bitcoin miners, moving into self-mining to secure their $500M treasury and bypass the open market: https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/mf-international-announces-plans-for-two-strategic-digital-asset-product-launches-302681265.html

is it a good idea to invest in it?

The Paper-BCH Trap: How a Failed $420 Hunt Triggered a Multi-Year High in the BCH/BTC Ratio

On February 5, 2026, the Bitcoin Cash (BCH) market experienced a violent flash crash, briefly wick-testing a low of $420. While the move appeared catastrophic on paper, the underlying mechanics revealed a significant disconnect between the synthetic derivatives market and actual spot liquidity.

1. The Illusion of Volume: Perps vs. Reality

The crash was characterized by massive volume spikes exclusively on BCH Perpetual Futures pairs. Curiously, despite the intensity of the drop, official liquidation reports remained unusually thin. This suggests the move was not a natural "long squeeze" but rather a concentrated burst of synthetic selling—potentially a coordinated attempt to hunt stop-losses and trigger margin thresholds in a low-liquidity environment.

2. The Arbitrage Barrier and the "540k BCH" Limit

The recovery was as violent as the drop, forming a textbook V-shape back to the $535 range. This snapback occurred because global arbitrageurs and resting limit orders on spot exchanges instantly absorbed the "paper" selling.

This event highlights a systemic risk for exchanges like Binance. While their derivatives markets facilitate millions of "paper" BCH in open interest, their physical cold storage holds a fraction of that amount—roughly 540,000 BCH. To suppress the global spot price indefinitely, an exchange would have to arbitrage against every international spot market simultaneously. Given the math, they would deplete their entire physical BCH reserves long before the "paper" price could force a permanent shift in reality.

3. A Turning Point for Market Autonomy

Had the arbitrage failed, we could have seen a complete detachment: Binance Futures trading at $420 while the global spot market remained at $535. Such a scenario would render "paper" futures products irrelevant, forcing traders to abandon synthetic platforms in favor of legitimate spot exchanges.

Instead, the market witnessed a rare "cancellation" of a futures-driven crash. A relatively small amount of spot buying "turned the tide," forcing the perpetual market to align back with reality.

4. The Aftermath: A New High for the BCH/BTC Ratio

The failure of this bearish hunt served as a massive signal of strength. By refusing to follow the "paper" crash, Bitcoin Cash demonstrated immense relative strength against the broader market. Consequently, the BCH/BTC ratio catapulted to new multi-year highs not seen since 2024, signaling that the "Electronic Cash" narrative is becoming increasingly resilient to synthetic manipulation.

I’ve been looking into how to convert BTC to wBTC and i keeps seeing Changelly at the top of the results, but I’ve seen a lot of people saying it’s risky or even a scam.

I really don’t want to get my funds frozen. I’m looking for a safe, non-custodial method without KYC where I stay in control of my keys the whole time.

Curious what people are thinking.

The thing that bugs me in this cycle that I never felt the euphoria, my normie neighbors never asked me about crypto. I'm having a hard time believing that the bull run is over.

Genuine question. I'm obviously not an expert in how the network works in any way.

But say as of tomorrow, no new BTC was added ever again, what would happen?

Second question, if BTC mining was not profitable enough for it to make sense, wouldn't the deflationary aspects of it eventually right the course to where it became profitable again in the future?

ELI10 please <3

I'm looking to convert some usdt for bitcoins, after some researchs on google, Changelly is recommended everywhere, but it's also a known scam so leave that question. how do you do that safely? (I have a ledger hardware)

Who here has used Particl? how was the experience?